{"id":104289,"date":"2026-05-01T06:20:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T12:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theinformant.com\/?p=104289"},"modified":"2026-05-01T06:20:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T12:20:35","slug":"mexico-mantiene-finanzas-solidas-y-deuda-estable-pese-a-entorno-global-adverso-shcp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theinformant.com\/?p=104289","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e9xico mantiene finanzas s\u00f3lidas y deuda estable pese a entorno global adverso: SHCP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote\"><blockquote><p>Hacienda reporta super\u00e1vit y deuda estable, mientras la econom\u00eda avanza apenas 0.1% y la inversi\u00f3n retrocede<\/p><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph\">Aunque la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico destac\u00f3 la solidez de las finanzas p\u00fablicas en el primer trimestre de 2026, los indicadores econ\u00f3micos reflejan un panorama de claroscuros: estabilidad fiscal por un lado, pero crecimiento pr\u00e1cticamente nulo y debilidad en la inversi\u00f3n por el otro.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La econom\u00eda mexicana registr\u00f3 un crecimiento anual de apenas 0.1%, en un entorno internacional complejo marcado por tensiones comerciales y presiones inflacionarias. El dato confirma una desaceleraci\u00f3n significativa frente a a\u00f1os previos y evidencia la fragilidad del dinamismo econ\u00f3mico interno.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El contraste es evidente: mientras el balance primario alcanz\u00f3 un super\u00e1vit de 98 mil millones de pesos \u2014superior a lo previsto\u2014 y la deuda p\u00fablica se mantuvo en 50.4% del PIB, la actividad productiva mostr\u00f3 se\u00f1ales de estancamiento, particularmente en los sectores m\u00e1s vinculados al comercio global.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Las actividades secundarias, clave para la industria, registraron una contracci\u00f3n de 1.3%, afectadas por la incertidumbre comercial y la desaceleraci\u00f3n de las cadenas de suministro. A ello se suma una ca\u00edda de 3.3% en la inversi\u00f3n fija, un indicador que suele anticipar el desempe\u00f1o econ\u00f3mico futuro y que refleja cautela por parte del sector privado.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si bien el consumo privado creci\u00f3 1.5%, este avance estuvo impulsado principalmente por bienes importados, lo que limita su impacto en el fortalecimiento del mercado interno. En contraste, el consumo de bienes nacionales mostr\u00f3 una moderaci\u00f3n.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En el frente fiscal, Hacienda presume resultados positivos: la recaudaci\u00f3n del IEPS creci\u00f3 19.4% y super\u00f3 lo programado, mientras que los ingresos no tributarios tambi\u00e9n mostraron un comportamiento favorable. Sin embargo, el ISR registr\u00f3 una ca\u00edda real de 4.1%, lo que podr\u00eda interpretarse como un menor dinamismo en las utilidades empresariales.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El gasto p\u00fablico mantuvo su orientaci\u00f3n social, con incrementos en salud, educaci\u00f3n y protecci\u00f3n social, lo que contribuye a sostener el consumo y mitigar los efectos de la desaceleraci\u00f3n. No obstante, este impulso no ha sido suficiente para detonar un crecimiento m\u00e1s robusto.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En el \u00e1mbito externo, las exportaciones crecieron 17.9%, impulsadas por manufacturas no automotrices, lo que refleja un aprovechamiento del T-MEC; sin embargo, este dinamismo no se ha traducido en una expansi\u00f3n generalizada de la econom\u00eda.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El mercado laboral se mantiene como uno de los puntos m\u00e1s s\u00f3lidos, con la creaci\u00f3n de 584 mil empleos y una tasa de desempleo de 2.6%. Aun as\u00ed, persisten retos en materia de calidad del empleo y productividad.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En cuanto a la inflaci\u00f3n, se ubic\u00f3 en 4.1%, con presiones en productos agropecuarios, mientras que el Banco de M\u00e9xico redujo su tasa de inter\u00e9s a 6.75%, en un intento por estimular la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El reporte tambi\u00e9n subraya que la deuda p\u00fablica se mantiene en niveles sostenibles y que el pa\u00eds conserva el grado de inversi\u00f3n, lo que brinda estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica y acceso a financiamiento internacional en condiciones favorables.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sin embargo, el balance general apunta a una econom\u00eda que, si bien mantiene fundamentos fiscales s\u00f3lidos, enfrenta desaf\u00edos importantes para recuperar un ritmo de crecimiento m\u00e1s din\u00e1mico, especialmente en un contexto global incierto.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El reto para los pr\u00f3ximos meses ser\u00e1 traducir la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica en crecimiento efectivo, inversi\u00f3n productiva y generaci\u00f3n de valor interno, evitando que la disciplina fiscal conviva con una econom\u00eda estancada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hacienda reporta super\u00e1vit y deuda estable, mientras la econom\u00eda avanza apenas 0.1% y la inversi\u00f3n retrocede Aunque la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico destac\u00f3 la solidez de las finanzas p\u00fablicas en el primer trimestre de 2026, los indicadores econ\u00f3micos reflejan un panorama de claroscuros: estabilidad fiscal por un lado, pero crecimiento pr\u00e1cticamente nulo y [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":104292,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destacado","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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